ONE MORE DAY – AT 8:52 A.M. ET:  The election, or at least the major part of it, is tomorrow.  As we've noted, millions of Americans have already voted.  As we go through the analyses this morning, the one thing that comes through is that the predictions and hunches haven't changed much over the last weekend.  Most pundits still say that the odds favor a Republican-controlled Senate.  They also say that turnout is the key, and that a strong Democratic ground game, especially among black voters, can disrupt the predictions.

In one critical state, there are developments, at least according to Byron York of the Washington Examiner: 

For a brief time in mid-October, some Democrats believed Michelle Nunn, the party's Senate candidate in Georgia, could be the firewall that prevents a Republican takeover of the Senate. If Nunn could win the seat opened by retiring GOP Sen. Saxby Chambliss, then Republicans would need to pick up seven, not six, seats to take control.

In half-a-dozen polls taken over a two-week period in the middle of October, Nunn led Republican opponent David Perdue in five, while the candidates tied in one.  Democratic optimism surged. "National Democrats have just decided to pour $1 million into this race in Georgia, a sign of how important a victory here would be to their effort to beat the odds and hold on to control of the Senate," the Wall Street Journal reported Oct. 17. More pro-Nunn money came after that, with a barrage of ads focusing mostly on accusations the businessman Perdue outsourced thousands of Georgia jobs.

Now, things have changed. Perdue has recovered from the attacks — he indisputably helped create thousands of jobs in his career — and in the last six polls, taken since Oct. 16, Perdue has led in five, while one was a tie. In the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Perdue is up by 2.2 percentage points. In the newest poll, a NBC News-Marist survey released Sunday, Perdue leads by four points, 48 percent to 44 percent.

Perdue's position puts him in striking distance of the 50 percent total required for him to win outright, avoid a January runoff and dash a lot of Democratic hopes.

COMMENT:  We hope.  The Georgia seat is currently held by the retiring Republican senator, Saxby Chambliss.  Republicans must not lose seats if they are going to take the Senate.  It looks pretty good in Georgia, but we can't quite put this one away.

Oh, also in Georgia.  It appears that Republican Governor Nathan Deal will hold off a challenge tomorrow from Jason Carter, the grandson of Jimmy Carter.  I would never attribute the sins of granddad to the grandson, but I'd sleep better knowing that Jimmy had no influence over the governorship of Georgia, a position he once held.

November 3,  2014